Sport Picks
Rhode Island vs Louisville City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI 
Match Events
18'
18'
Totsch S.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Yao K. In: Foyo O.
Out: Yao K.
48'
48'
Korzeniowski S.
Assist: Kwizera J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louisville City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Louisville City at 1.66 per game, Rhode Island at 1.54.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 20%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rhode Island | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Louisville City
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Rhode Island
4:2
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Louisville City
0:1
Jun 12, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Rhode Island
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Rhode Island
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rhode Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Louisville City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rhode Island 36 / 100
Louisville City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rhode Island Louisville City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Louisville City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rhode Island scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Louisville City let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Rhode Island has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rhode Island VS Louisville City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rhode Island
(Home) 10 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Rhode Island
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3 Rhode Island
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
08 Aug
Rhode Island
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 3
Louisville City
(Away) 10 Oct
Charleston
0 : 2 Louisville City
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Charleston
0 : 2 Louisville City
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
09 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
