Sport Picks
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC
USA
USL Championship Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI 
Match Events
9'
9'
Holstad C.
20'
20'
Rodriguez A.
39'
39'
Ciotta N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rhode Island
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rhode Island have won more games recently than Orange County SC.
- Rhode Island are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 20%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rhode Island | Orange County SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Rhode Island
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rhode Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Bacharach Capdevila H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Orange County SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Sylla O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rhode Island 85 / 100
Orange County SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rhode Island Orange County SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rhode Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rhode Island's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Orange County SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Rhode Island stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rhode Island VS Orange County SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rhode Island
(Home) 19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
08 Aug
Rhode Island
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Orange County SC
(Away) 19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
26 Jul
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 Orange County SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
04 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Orange County SC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:24 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 41:40 | 36 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
