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Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rhode Island host Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Rhode Island have averaged 1.59 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 1 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Pittsburgh Riverhounds slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Rhode Island. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rhode Island
20%
Draws
29%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rhode Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds haven't matched Rhode Island's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Rhode Island taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 20%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhode Island Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
2:0
May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island
0:1
May 24, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhode Island 40 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhode Island Pittsburgh Riverhounds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhode Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhode Island scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Pittsburgh Riverhounds conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Rhode Island went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rhode Island VS Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhode Island

(Home)
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3
Rhode Island
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0
Rhode Island
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2
Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

(Away)
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Loudoun United
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
4 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)