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Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Feb 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rhode Island host Sporting Jax in the Club Friendly. This has Rhode Island written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Rhode Island at 1.72 goals for, 1.17 against; Sporting Jax at 1.07 for, 2.43 against. Past meetings favor Rhode Island slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.69 - 0.88) back Rhode Island to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rhode Island
15%
Draws
28%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rhode Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rhode Island lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Jax.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Rhode Island taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhode Island Sporting Jax
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.72 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhode Island 85 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhode Island Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhode Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rhode Island scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sporting Jax let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Sporting Jax registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rhode Island VS Sporting Jax
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhode Island

(Home)
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
Rhode Island
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1
Monterey Bay
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
Rhode Island
08 Aug
Rhode Island
2 : 0
Colorado Springs
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0
Rhode Island
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Sporting Jax

(Away)
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3
Sporting Jax
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1
Indy Eleven
02 Aug
Sacramento Republic
5 : 0
Sporting Jax
26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
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