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Rhyl vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026 Belle Vue, Rhyl
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Parry J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Rhyl and Gresford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rhyl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Rhyl
35%
Draws
9%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rhyl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rhyl come out ahead of Gresford on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rhyl a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 20%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhyl Gresford
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.57 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Gresford
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Rhyl
2:2
Mar 7, 2020 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Gresford
1:2
Oct 12, 2019 Cymru North
Gresford vs Rhyl
1:3
Feb 9, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Gresford vs Rhyl
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Parry J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhyl 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhyl Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhyl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Gresford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rhyl stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rhyl VS Gresford
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhyl

(Home)
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
22 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
0 : 0
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
16 Aug
Gresford
0 : 5
Brickfield Rangers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)