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Rhyl vs Newtown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Giblin J.
20' Event
Hyne J.
65' Event
Boakye H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rhyl
35%
Draws
55%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Newtown have won more games recently than Rhyl.
  • Newtown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhyl Newtown
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Newtown
2:2
Mar 24, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Rhyl
6:1
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Newtown
2:5
Jan 25, 2020 FAW Welsh Cup
Newtown vs Rhyl
4:1
Dec 8, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Newtown vs Rhyl
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Giblin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mmadi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyne J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boakye H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhyl 10 / 100
Newtown 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhyl Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Newtown let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Rhyl went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rhyl VS Newtown
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhyl

(Home)
31 Oct
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Rhyl
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
09 Oct
Ruthin Town
1 : 1
Rhyl
03 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 3
Brickfield Rangers
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
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Newtown

(Away)
31 Oct
Newtown
2 : 0
Buckley
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Newtown
0 : 0
Bangor 1876
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)