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Ribadeo FC vs CD Choco

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016 game between Ribadeo FC and CD Choco finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribadeo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ribadeo FC
15%
Draws
0%
CD Choco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ribadeo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ribadeo FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ribadeo FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ribadeo FC Clean Sheet 20%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribadeo FC CD Choco
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.15 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadeo FC vs CD Choco
3:1
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Ribadeo FC
3:0
May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadeo FC vs CD Choco
1:1
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Ribadeo FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribadeo FC 42 / 100
CD Choco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribadeo FC CD Choco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco has conceded goals in 97% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Choco registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ribadeo FC scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Choco
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribadeo FC

(Home)
15 May
Ribadeo FC
0 : 0
Noia
08 May
Alondras
4 : 1
Ribadeo FC
01 May
Ribadeo FC
1 : 4
Rapido de Bouzas
24 Apr
Ribadeo FC
3 : 2
Arosa SC
17 Apr
CD Boiro
3 : 0
Ribadeo FC
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CD Choco

(Away)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 38 22 11 5 71:33 77
2 Cerceda 38 22 6 10 64:40 72
3 Deportivo Fabril 38 19 10 9 74:46 67
4 CD Choco 38 17 12 9 57:40 63
5 Racing Club Villalbes 38 15 13 10 51:43 58
6 Barco 38 15 12 11 55:54 57
7 Alondras 38 14 14 10 44:41 56
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 15 10 13 51:46 55
9 Arosa SC 38 13 15 10 55:48 54
10 CD AS Pontes 38 13 10 15 49:54 49
11 Ribadumia 38 13 9 16 54:51 48
12 SD Negreira 38 11 15 12 47:48 48
13 Silva SD 38 12 12 14 53:56 48
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
15 SD Ordenes 38 12 9 17 33:45 45
16 Bergantinos 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
17 Galicia Mugardos 38 10 13 15 48:63 43
18 Ribadeo FC 38 8 11 19 41:68 35
19 Noia 38 8 8 22 28:59 32
20 Verin CF 38 5 16 17 30:54 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)