Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016

Galicia Mugardos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ribadumia play Galicia Mugardos in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ribadumia averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Galicia Mugardos averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Ribadumia won 0, Galicia Mugardos won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2016 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Ribadumia and 1.13 for Galicia Mugardos. This points to a Ribadumia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Ribadumia

22%

Draws

36%

Galicia Mugardos

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ribadumia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Ribadumia picked up more points recently compared to Galicia Mugardos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Ribadumia Clean Sheet 21%

Galicia Mugardos Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ribadumia	Galicia Mugardos
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	14	9
Draws	7	7
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.31	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.42	1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Galicia Mugardos vs Ribadumia

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

4:0

Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Ribadumia vs Galicia Mugardos

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribadumia 42 / 100

Galicia Mugardos 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ribadumia Galicia Mugardos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ribadumia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ribadumia attacking → ← attacking Galicia Mugardos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribadumia scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Galicia Mugardos let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ribadumia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Galicia Mugardos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 34

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Boiro	38	22	11	5	71:33	77
2	Cerceda	38	22	6	10	64:40	72
3	Deportivo Fabril	38	19	10	9	74:46	67
4	CD Choco	38	17	12	9	57:40	63
5	Racing Club Villalbes	38	15	13	10	51:43	58
6	Barco	38	15	12	11	55:54	57
7	Alondras	38	14	14	10	44:41	56
8	Rapido de Bouzas	38	15	10	13	51:46	55
9	Arosa SC	38	13	15	10	55:48	54
10	CD AS Pontes	38	13	10	15	49:54	49
11	Ribadumia	38	13	9	16	54:51	48
12	SD Negreira	38	11	15	12	47:48	48
13	Silva SD	38	12	12	14	53:56	48
14	Barbadas-Bentraces	38	11	12	15	47:58	45
15	SD Ordenes	38	12	9	17	33:45	45
16	Bergantinos	38	11	10	17	38:43	43
17	Galicia Mugardos	38	10	13	15	48:63	43
18	Ribadeo FC	38	8	11	19	41:68	35
19	Noia	38	8	8	22	28:59	32
20	Verin CF	38	5	16	17	30:54	31