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Ribadumia vs SD Negreira

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Ribadumia and SD Negreira finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Negreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ribadumia
15%
Draws
34%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ribadumia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ribadumia come out ahead of SD Negreira on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ribadumia a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ribadumia Clean Sheet 18%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribadumia SD Negreira
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadumia vs SD Negreira
3:1
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Ribadumia
1:4
Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadumia vs SD Negreira
2:4
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Ribadumia
0:0
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadumia vs SD Negreira
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribadumia 58 / 100
SD Negreira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribadumia SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribadumia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ribadumia scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

SD Negreira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 35 matches.

Ribadumia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ribadumia VS SD Negreira
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribadumia

(Home)
19 Jun
Fisterra
1 : 2
Ribadumia
13 Jun
Ribadumia
3 : 2
Paiosaco
06 Jun
Arzua
3 : 1
Ribadumia
30 May
Ribadumia
0 : 1
Viveiro
23 May
Agrupacion Estudiantil
0 : 2
Ribadumia
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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