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Ribeirao vs Tirsense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mesquita B.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between Ribeirao and Tirsense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ribeirao
20%
Draws
65%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tirsense come out ahead of Ribeirao on wins alone.
  • Tirsense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tirsense have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 20%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribeirao Tirsense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Ribeirao
3:0
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ribeirao vs Tirsense
0:1
May 17, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Ribeirao
2:1
Mar 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Ribeirao vs Tirsense
0:1
Dec 7, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Ribeirao
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ribeirao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesquita B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribeirao 10 / 100
Tirsense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribeirao Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Ribeirao scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Ribeirao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tirsense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribeirao

(Home)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
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Tirsense

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)