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Ribelle vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Ribelle Logo

Ribelle

1 - 3
FT
Adriese Logo

Adriese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Adriese in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adriese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ribelle
35%
Draws
0%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ribelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ribelle haven't matched Adriese's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Ribelle taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Adriese have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 20%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribelle Adriese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Adriese vs Ribelle
3:1
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Adriese
1:3
Sep 4, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Adriese vs Ribelle
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribelle 85 / 100
Adriese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribelle Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribelle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adriese has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Adriese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ribelle scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adriese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribelle

(Home)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)