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Richmond Kickers vs AV Alta FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Freeman T.
45'
Freeman T.
47'
Sub
Aoumaich I. In: Antwi G.
Out: Aoumaich I.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Richmond Kickers and AV Alta FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Richmond Kickers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Richmond Kickers
15%
Draws
0%
AV Alta FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Richmond Kickers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AV Alta FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Richmond Kickers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 16%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers AV Alta FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs AV Alta FC
3:2
Mar 8, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Richmond Kickers
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Richmond Kickers
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs AV Alta FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Top Goalscorer Freeman T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkland J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acuna J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 84 / 100
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers AV Alta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Richmond Kickers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Away concern: AV Alta FC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Richmond Kickers scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: AV Alta FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS AV Alta FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6

AV Alta FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1
AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0
AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)