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Ried vs Amstetten

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ried host Amstetten in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ried have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Amstetten's 1.66 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Ried have won 2 to Amstetten's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.81) point toward Ried. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ried
30%
Draws
31%
Amstetten
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ried carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ried a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ried Clean Sheet 11%
Amstetten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Amstetten
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Amstetten vs Ried
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Ried vs Amstetten
2:3
Apr 4, 2025 2. Liga
Ried vs Amstetten
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 2. Liga
Amstetten vs Ried
2:3
Apr 26, 2024 2. Liga
Ried vs Amstetten
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 65 / 100
Amstetten 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Amstetten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Ried scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Amstetten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Ried has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Amstetten
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
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Amstetten

(Away)
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Amstetten
4 : 2
Austria Vienna (Am)
28 Aug
First Vienna
1 : 0
Amstetten
21 Aug
Amstetten
1 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
15 Aug
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
2 : 2
Amstetten
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