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Ried vs Grazer AK Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Innviertel Arena, Ried
Ried Logo

Ried

1 - 0
FT
Grazer AK Logo

Grazer AK

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Chukwudi S.
28'
Anderson
33'
Oberleitner Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ried in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ried.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ried
35%
Draws
38%
Grazer AK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grazer AK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Grazer AK have won more games recently than Ried.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ried Clean Sheet 68%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Grazer AK
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Grazer AK
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Grazer AK
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Ried
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Ried
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Grazer AK
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 41 / 100
Grazer AK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Grazer AK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ried scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Grazer AK conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Ried stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Grazer AK
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
02 Oct
Ried
3 : 3
Amstetten
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
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Grazer AK

(Away)
30 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
1 : 5
Grazer AK
19 Sept
Grazer AK
2 : 2
Austria Vienna
12 Sept
Altach
1 : 2
Grazer AK
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)