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Ried vs Regensburg Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Weissenbacher P.
41' Event
Schwab S.
47' Event
Bauer B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ried and Regensburg finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ried
30%
Draws
12%
Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ried come out ahead of Regensburg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ried a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ried Clean Sheet 14%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Regensburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Ried vs Regensburg
2:4
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Regensburg vs Ried
3:4
Dec 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Regensburg vs Ried
0:0
Jul 9, 2021 Club Friendly
Ried vs Regensburg
0:2
Jul 7, 2017 Club Friendly
Regensburg vs Ried
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Weissenbacher P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schwab S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermes L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bauer B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 84 / 100
Regensburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Regensburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ried remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Regensburg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
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Regensburg

(Away)
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3
Regensburg
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 2
Regensburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
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