Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Innviertel Arena, Ried
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ried host Wolfsberger AC in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wolfsberger AC have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Ried have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Ried slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.38 - 2.25) back Wolfsberger AC to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ried
20%
Draws
36%
Wolfsberger AC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Wolfsberger AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ried's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%
Wolfsberger AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Wolfsberger AC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.55 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
2:1
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Ried
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Ried
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 38 / 100
Wolfsberger AC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Wolfsberger AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Wolfsberger AC let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Ried went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Wolfsberger AC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
14 Aug
LASK Linz
4 : 1
Ried
09 Aug
Ried
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna
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Wolfsberger AC

(Away)
06 Sept
Parndorf
2 : 3
Wolfsberger AC
01 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 3
LASK Linz
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
15 Aug
A. Lustenau
2 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
09 Aug
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 1
Salzburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LASK Linz 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Salzburg 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
3 Rapid Vienna 5 4 0 1 15:7 12
4 Sturm Graz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
5 Tirol 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Hartberg 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
7 Wolfsberger AC 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
8 A. Lustenau 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
9 Ried 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
10 Grazer AK 5 1 1 3 2:13 4
11 Altach 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
12 Austria Vienna 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)