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Riga FC 2 vs Augsdaugavas

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Nakotnes liga 2025
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Match Events

6' Event
Eke L.
Assist: Ozolins R.
11' Event
Prudchenko N.
Assist: Blazevics J.
23'
Kirikovs A.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Riga FC 2 and Augsdaugavas finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Riga FC 2
35%
Draws
9%
Augsdaugavas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga FC 2 come out ahead of Augsdaugavas on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Riga FC 2 taking it.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 Augsdaugavas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.68 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Augsdaugavas
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs Riga FC 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Prudchenko N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eke L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 84 / 100
Augsdaugavas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 Augsdaugavas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsdaugavas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Riga FC 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Riga FC 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 7

Augsdaugavas

(Away)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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