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Riga FC 2 vs Tukums 2000 2

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Nakotnes liga
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Match Events

71' Event
Pena B.
83' Event
Pena B.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Riga FC 2 and Tukums 2000 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Riga FC 2
6%
Draws
4%
Tukums 2000 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Riga FC 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Riga FC 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Riga FC 2
2:1
Jul 7, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
1:0
Sep 27, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
9:0
May 26, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Riga FC 2
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 83 / 100
Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 Tukums 2000 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Riga FC 2 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Riga FC 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS Tukums 2000 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334