Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riga FC vs FK Liepaja

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Patijcuks D.
24'
Galo O.
25'
Sub
Isajevs V. In: Korotkovs I.
Out: Isajevs V.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Riga FC and FK Liepaja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Riga FC
17%
Draws
13%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Liepaja haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Riga FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Riga FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 68%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC FK Liepaja
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Liepaja
4:0
May 3, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Liepaja
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Riga FC
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Liepaja
3:0
Sep 18, 2025 Latvian Cup
FK Liepaja vs Riga FC
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago Siqueira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 77 / 100
FK Liepaja 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

FK Liepaja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Riga FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS FK Liepaja
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3
Riga FC
18 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 1
Tukums 2000
14 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia
10 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 3
Riga FC
07 Jul
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

FK Liepaja

(Away)
26 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 2
FK Liepaja
23 Jul
FK Liepaja
0 : 2
Austria Vienna
15 Jul
Decic
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
11 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0
Decic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RFS24202256:1662
2Riga FC23184168:2058
3FK Auda Riga23134638:2643
4FK Liepaja23941030:3431
5BFC Daugavpils24861029:3030
6Super Nova23831225:3527
7Jelgava24671124:4125
8Grobina24491117:3721
9Tukums 200024381338:4817
10Ogre United24351623:6114
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)