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Riga FC vs FK Metta

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Skonto stadions, Riga
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

4 - 1
FT
FK Metta Logo

FK Metta

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Maurs-Boks E.
24'
Suleiman A.
46'
Sub
Maurs-Boks E. In: Maviram N.
Out: Maurs-Boks E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Riga FC
30%
Draws
38%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC have won more games recently than FK Metta.
  • FK Metta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Riga FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Riga FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC FK Metta
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 25 24
Draws 7 3
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 2.5 4.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 2.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Latvian Cup
Riga FC vs FK Metta
4:1
Oct 19, 2025 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Riga FC
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Metta
3:2
May 24, 2025 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Riga FC
0:3
Apr 8, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Metta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aouani R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Ferreira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Cinajevs D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.54
Avg xA / game 1.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 10 / 100
FK Metta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC FK Metta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Riga FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FK Metta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS FK Metta
2.38 Goals Scored 4.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 7

FK Metta

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -