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Riga FC vs Grobina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
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Match Events

44'
Rupeiks K.
46'
Sub
Cernomordijs A. In: Musah B.
Out: Cernomordijs A.
46'
Sub
Salazar A. In: Jurkovskis R.
Out: Salazar A.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Riga FC and Grobina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Riga FC
35%
Draws
20%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga FC come out ahead of Grobina on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Riga FC taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riga FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC Grobina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 2.38 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Grobina
4:0
May 29, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Grobina
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Riga FC
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Riga FC
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Grobina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reginaldo Ramires
2 Goals
Assists Leader Taiwo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Grobina Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 68 / 100
Grobina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Riga FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Grobina has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS Grobina
2 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
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Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)