Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riga FC vs Noah Jurmala

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Vranjanin M.
24'
Cernomordijs A.
39'
Strauss G.

AI Match Summary

The Optibet Virsliga 2021 game between Riga FC and Noah Jurmala finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Riga FC
20%
Draws
0%
Noah Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga FC come out ahead of Noah Jurmala on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Riga FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Riga FC have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 20%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC Noah Jurmala
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 30 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 2 26
Goals Scored 2.5 0.29
Goals Conceded 0.87 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Riga FC
0:3
Jun 25, 2021 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Noah Jurmala
2:1
Jun 13, 2021 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Noah Jurmala
1:0
May 20, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Riga FC
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cernomordijs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Noah Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Babyr O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 85 / 100
Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC Noah Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC scored in 92% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Noah Jurmala conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Riga FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 8

Noah Jurmala

(Away)
06 Nov
FK Metta
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
31 Oct
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
27 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
23 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
17 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)