Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025 Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga

Riga Mariners

6 - 1

AFA Olaine

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Strupiss K.

39'

Grazis A.

Assist: Poluhovics A.

46'

Sub

Vinogradovs J. In: Moskalovs A.

Out: Vinogradovs J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Riga Mariners in this Latvian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Riga Mariners

15%

Draws

27%

AFA Olaine

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Riga Mariners have won more games recently than AFA Olaine.
Win probability leans Riga Mariners's way, sitting at 90%.
Riga Mariners have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Riga Mariners, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Riga Mariners have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 20%

AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Riga Mariners	AFA Olaine
Matches Played	37	31
Wins	25	10
Draws	8	4
Losses	4	17
Goals Scored	2.97	2.03
Goals Conceded	1.14	3.26
Expected Goals (xG)	2.17	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 1. Liga

Riga Mariners vs AFA Olaine

6:0

Jul 11, 2025 Latvian Cup

Riga Mariners vs AFA Olaine

6:1

Apr 26, 2025 1. Liga

AFA Olaine vs Riga Mariners

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kostigovs V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.67

Avg xA / game 1.08

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantelejevs K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 85 / 100

AFA Olaine 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Riga Mariners AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Riga Mariners scored in 97% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: AFA Olaine conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Riga Mariners remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS -

3.13 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga Mariners

(Home)

05 Sept

Riga Mariners

5 : 0

Rezekne

29 Aug

Riga Mariners

3 : 1

RFS 2

24 Aug

Riga FC 2

1 : 3

Riga Mariners

09 Aug

Riga Mariners

4 : 2

Tukums 2000 2

31 Jul

Super Nova 2

0 : 3

Riga Mariners

Page 1 of 8

AFA Olaine

(Away)

08 Nov

Rezekne

3 : 4

AFA Olaine

01 Nov

AFA Olaine

1 : 1

Leevon PPK

25 Oct

Marupe

5 : 1

AFA Olaine

18 Oct

AFA Olaine

3 : 0

Skanste

04 Oct

Riga FC 2

7 : 2

AFA Olaine

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Riga United -

TBD -

SK Babite -

Iecava -

TBD -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani -

TBD -

JFC Viola -

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 8

FK Limbazi 0

TBD -

FK Cesis -

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Namejs -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU -

TBD -

LSPA -

Kuldigas/Goldingen -

TBD -

Salaspils FK -

Dienvidkurzemes -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava -

TBD -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Talsi 1

Aliance 5

TBD -

Valka -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/64-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 4

FK Alberts 3

Riga United 6

SK Babite 0

Iecava 1

Kekava-Auda 2

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 4

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

Upesciema Warriors 5

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 6

FK Cesis 0

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas 4

Namejs 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 8

Bauskas / Memele 0

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU 5

LSPA 1

Kuldigas/Goldingen 2

Salaspils FK 3

Dienvidkurzemes 3

DSVK Traktors 0

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 5

Lielupe 0

TBD -

Rezekne -

Aliance 9

Valka 1

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/32-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 0

Riga United 3

Kekava-Auda 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 0

Skanste 5

Alberts JDFS 5

FK Smiltene 3

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Upesciema Warriors 0

Riga Mariners 3

Valmiera 4

Ogre United 3

Plavinas 3

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

AFA Olaine 3

Augsdaugavas 1

RSU 0

Salaspils FK 6

Dienvidkurzemes 1

Leevon PPK 2

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 4

Rezekne 0

Aliance 0

JFK Ventspils 6

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/16-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Riga United 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Skanste 1

Alberts JDFS 2

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Riga Mariners 4

Valmiera 3

Plavinas 3

AFA Olaine 5

Salaspils FK 4

Leevon PPK 5

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 1

JFK Ventspils 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/8-finals

Jelgava 0

RFS 1

Marupe 1

FK Metta 4

FK Auda Riga 1

Grobina 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Super Nova 3

Riga FC 4

Tukums 2000 0

Riga Mariners 6

AFA Olaine 1

Leevon PPK 2

BFC Daugavpils 4

JFK Ventspils 0

FK Liepaja 2

Quarter-finals

RFS 3

FK Metta 2

FK Auda Riga 3

Super Nova 1

Riga FC 10

Riga Mariners 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Liepaja 2

Semi-finals

RFS 0

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 0

Final

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 1

Riga Mariners vs AFA Olaine

Latvia

Riga Mariners

AFA Olaine

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Riga Mariners Compare

AFA Olaine Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Riga Mariners

AFA Olaine

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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