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Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riga Mariners host Alberts JDFS in the 1. Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Riga Mariners have averaged 2.62 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Alberts JDFS's 1.97 scored and 1.27 conceded. Past meetings favor Riga Mariners slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.81) point toward Riga Mariners. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Riga Mariners
15%
Draws
37%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Alberts JDFS.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Riga Mariners have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 11%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga Mariners Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.62 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners
0:4
Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup
Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners
2:0
Jul 18, 2025 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 29 / 100
Alberts JDFS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga Mariners Alberts JDFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga Mariners found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Alberts JDFS has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Riga Mariners remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS Alberts JDFS
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga Mariners

(Home)
17 Oct
Riga Mariners
4 : 3
Skanste
10 Oct
FK Metta
4 : 0
Riga Mariners
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
Page 1 of 7

Alberts JDFS

(Away)
18 Oct
Leevon PPK
2 : 2
Alberts JDFS
10 Oct
Skanste
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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