Sport Picks
Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
1. Liga 
AI Match Summary
Riga Mariners host Leevon PPK in the 1. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Riga Mariners have averaged 2.48 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Leevon PPK's 2.24 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Riga Mariners have won 1 to Leevon PPK's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.31, favoring Leevon PPK. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Leevon PPK carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
- Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Leevon PPK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.48 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Riga Mariners scored in 97% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Riga Mariners has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Riga Mariners
(Home)Leevon PPK
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96:18 | 60 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 63:26 | 53 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 49:27 | 53 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 54:30 | 50 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 41 |
| 6 | Marupe | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 37:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Riga FC 2 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:39 | 30 |
| 8 | Super Nova 2 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Skanste | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 46:48 | 26 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34:61 | 20 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 31:68 | 19 |
| 12 | RFS 2 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 37:65 | 18 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:45 | 16 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17:70 | 6 |
