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Riga Mariners vs Super Nova 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Cugunovs J.
Assist: Grikovs A.
70' Event
Grazis A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Riga Mariners
6%
Draws
4%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga Mariners have won more games recently than Super Nova 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga Mariners Super Nova 2
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 3.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Riga Mariners vs Super Nova 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga Mariners Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cugunovs J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 85 / 100
Super Nova 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga Mariners Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga Mariners scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Super Nova 2 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Riga Mariners has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS Super Nova 2
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1384126:1228
4Leevon PPK1383222:1627
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334