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Riga Mariners vs Super Nova 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Cugunovs J.
Assist: Grikovs A.
70' Event
Grazis A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Riga Mariners
20%
Draws
24%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Riga Mariners have won more games recently than Super Nova 2.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga Mariners Super Nova 2
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 18 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs Riga Mariners
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Super Nova 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga Mariners Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cugunovs J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 85 / 100
Super Nova 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga Mariners Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga Mariners scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Super Nova 2 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Riga Mariners has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS Super Nova 2
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga Mariners

(Home)
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova 2

(Away)
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
8 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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