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Stadium Background

Rijeka vs Din. Zagreb Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Thu, Dec 3, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rijeka host Din. Zagreb in the HNL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Rijeka at 1.57 goals for, 0.77 against; Din. Zagreb at 2.66 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Din. Zagreb slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.69) back Din. Zagreb to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rijeka
20%
Draws
40%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Din. Zagreb come out ahead of Rijeka on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Rijeka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 13%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijeka Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.57 2.66
Goals Conceded 0.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Croatian Cup
Din. Zagreb vs Rijeka
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Rijeka
2:2
Feb 8, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Din. Zagreb
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Rijeka
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Din. Zagreb
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 84 / 100
Din. Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rijeka scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rijeka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Din. Zagreb has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Din. Zagreb
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
Page 1 of 6

Din. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)