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Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Cubelic I.
35' Event
Dantas T.
Assist: Adu Adjei D.
38'
Raci R.

AI Match Summary

Rijeka in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rijeka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rijeka
15%
Draws
46%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Rijeka haven't matched Hajduk Split's recent run of results.
  • Rijeka are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 10%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijeka Hajduk Split
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.52 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
3:0
Apr 26, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 Croatian Cup
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
3:2
Feb 22, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Rijeka
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Dantas T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vignato S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hajduk Split Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 38 / 100
Hajduk Split 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rijeka's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Rijeka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Hajduk Split conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Hajduk Split
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
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Hajduk Split

(Away)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)