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Stadium Background

Rijeka vs Osijek Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Rijeka Logo

Rijeka

4 - 1
FT
Osijek Logo

Osijek

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Jezic J.
15' Event
Leon A.
Assist: Ljatifi A.
21' Event
Vignato S.
Assist: Adu Adjei D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rijeka in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rijeka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rijeka
20%
Draws
33%
Osijek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Osijek haven't matched Rijeka's recent run of results.
  • Rijeka are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 68%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijeka Osijek
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Osijek
4:1
Apr 12, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Osijek
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Rijeka
1:0
Oct 27, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Osijek
4:2
Aug 9, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Rijeka
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Adu Adjei D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vignato S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Osijek Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 68 / 100
Osijek 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka Osijek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rijeka found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Rijeka stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Osijek has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Osijek
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
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Osijek

(Away)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
30 Aug
Osijek
3 : 0
Slaven Belupo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)