Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Rijeka host Varazdin in the HNL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Varazdin have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Rijeka have conceded 0.91 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Rijeka have won 1 to Varazdin's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.69) point toward Varazdin. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Varazdin carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Rijeka's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Varazdin have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rijeka | Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rijeka found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).
Varazdin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Rijeka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Rijeka
(Home)Varazdin
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Osijek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | 7 |
| 8 | Slaven Belupo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 10 | Rudes | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:24 | 4 |
