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Rijnvogels vs Dongen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Rijnvogels and Dongen finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijnvogels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rijnvogels
15%
Draws
21%
Dongen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rijnvogels carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rijnvogels a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 14%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijnvogels Dongen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Dongen
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijnvogels 84 / 100
Dongen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijnvogels Dongen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rijnvogels scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Dongen has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rijnvogels stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rijnvogels VS Dongen
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijnvogels

(Home)
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4
Rijnvogels
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

Dongen

(Away)
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0
SV Poortugaal
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2
Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)