Sport Picks
Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Rijnvogels and Groene Ster finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijnvogels.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Rijnvogels carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Rijnvogels a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Rijnvogels have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 20%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rijnvogels | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 2.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster
5:1
Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels
3:2
Aug 17, 2016 KNVB Beker
Groene Ster vs Rijnvogels
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rijnvogels 85 / 100
Groene Ster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rijnvogels Groene Ster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Groene Ster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.25 goals.
Rijnvogels's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Recent resilience: Rijnvogels stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rijnvogels VS Groene Ster
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rijnvogels
(Home) 03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
27 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4 Rijnvogels
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1 VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1 VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 SV Poortugaal
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2 Dongen
02 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 0 VV Bennekom
Page 1 of 4
Groene Ster
(Away) 03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1 Groene Ster
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
