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Rijnvogels vs VV Noordwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rijnvogels host VV Noordwijk in the Derde Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Rijnvogels have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against VV Noordwijk's 1.86 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor VV Noordwijk slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring Rijnvogels. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rijnvogels
15%
Draws
42%
VV Noordwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rijnvogels lately — more wins on the board than VV Noordwijk.
  • Model gives Rijnvogels a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • VV Noordwijk have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 20%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijnvogels VV Noordwijk
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs Rijnvogels
4:1
Oct 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs VV Noordwijk
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Rijnvogels vs VV Noordwijk
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijnvogels 49 / 100
VV Noordwijk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijnvogels VV Noordwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rijnvogels found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Rijnvogels went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

VV Noordwijk let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rijnvogels VS VV Noordwijk
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijnvogels

(Home)
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4
Rijnvogels
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
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VV Noordwijk

(Away)
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)