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Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Rilski Sportist at 1.19 goals for, 0.85 against; Dunav Ruse at 0.85 for, 1.26 against. Head-to-head, Rilski Sportist have won 1 to Dunav Ruse's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2024, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.94, favoring Rilski Sportist. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Rilski Sportist
20%
Draws
11%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Dunav Ruse haven't matched Rilski Sportist's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Rilski Sportist taking it.
  • Rilski Sportist have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunav Ruse, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dunav Ruse here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 12
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.19 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse
1:3
Mar 17, 2002 Vtora liga
Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse
1:0
Aug 26, 2001 Vtora liga
Dunav Ruse vs Rilski Sportist
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 85 / 100
Dunav Ruse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Dunav Ruse has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rilski Sportist remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Dunav Ruse
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

Dunav Ruse

(Away)
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -