Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Rilski Sportist

2 - 1

Germaneya

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Rilski Sportist and Germaneya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Rilski Sportist

22%

Draws

18%

Germaneya

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Germaneya haven't matched Rilski Sportist's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Rilski Sportist's way, sitting at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%

Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rilski Sportist	Germaneya
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	21	4
Draws	2	4
Losses	8	23
Goals Scored	1.25	1.14
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist vs Germaneya

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West

Germaneya vs Rilski Sportist

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 58 / 100

Germaneya 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rilski Sportist Germaneya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Germaneya let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Germaneya's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Germaneya

1.25 Goals Scored 1.14

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.71

63% Over 1.5 86%

50% Over 2.5 71%

0% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38