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Rilski Sportist vs Gorna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Iskar, Samokov
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist host Gorna in the Vtora liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Rilski Sportist at 1.15 goals for, 0.85 against; Gorna at 0.86 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Rilski Sportist have won 2 to Gorna's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2005, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 0.81) back Rilski Sportist to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rilski Sportist
30%
Draws
30%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rilski Sportist are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 68%
Gorna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Gorna
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.15 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2005 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Rilski Sportist
0:2
Sep 25, 2004 Vtora liga
Rilski Sportist vs Gorna
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 59 / 100
Gorna 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Rilski Sportist's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Gorna has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Rilski Sportist went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Gorna
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

Gorna

(Away)
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)