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Rilski Sportist vs Granit Vladaya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2024/2025 game between Rilski Sportist and Granit Vladaya finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Rilski Sportist
17%
Draws
13%
Granit Vladaya
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rilski Sportist come out ahead of Granit Vladaya on wins alone.
  • Rilski Sportist are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Granit Vladaya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Granit Vladaya
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 2
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Granit Vladaya
7:1
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Rilski Sportist
2:2
Nov 12, 2022 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Rilski Sportist
0:1
Aug 27, 2022 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Granit Vladaya
2:0
Jun 4, 2022 Third League - South-West
Granit Vladaya vs Rilski Sportist
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 67 / 100
Granit Vladaya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Granit Vladaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Granit Vladaya conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Rilski Sportist's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Granit Vladaya lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
11 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
08 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Jul
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Vihren
01 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Arda
27 May
Gotse Delchev
1 : 2
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

Granit Vladaya

(Away)
03 Jun
Granit Vladaya
1 : 4
Levski Sofia II
31 May
Granit Vladaya
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad 2
24 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 0
Granit Vladaya
17 May
Granit Vladaya
1 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
14 May
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Granit Vladaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vihren36265581:3483
2Kyustendil36244898:4676
3Oborishte Panagyurishte361910763:3367
4Rilski Sportist361881068:5162
5Bansko3615111045:3156
6Balkan Botevgrad361591260:5654
7Pirin Razlog361581357:4753
8Septemvri Simitli361651547:4653
9Bistritsa361571452:5152
10Septemvri Sofia 2361571446:4852
11Levski Sofia II361461639:4348
12Gotse Delchev3612111343:5747
13CSKA Sofia III3611131250:5146
14Botev Ihtiman3611121340:4745
15Slivnishki Geroy3610121444:4542
16Slavia Sofia 2369111641:5838
17CSKA 1948 Sofia III36792045:7030
18Pirin Blagoevgrad 2365102132:6425
19Granit Vladaya36282634:10711
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