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Rilski Sportist vs Hebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Iskar, Samokov
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist host Hebar in the Vtora liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Hebar have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Rilski Sportist have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, Rilski Sportist have won 0 to Hebar's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2019, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.19) point toward Hebar. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Rilski Sportist
20%
Draws
56%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rilski Sportist come out ahead of Hebar on wins alone.
  • Hebar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hebar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 10%
Hebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Hebar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2019 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Hebar
2:3
Oct 24, 2018 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Rilski Sportist
2:0
May 2, 2018 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Rilski Sportist
1:0
Oct 21, 2017 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Hebar
2:2
Mar 11, 2017 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Rilski Sportist
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 18 / 100
Hebar 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Hebar let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rilski Sportist remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Hebar
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
30 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Vihren
23 Oct
Beroe
3 : 1
Rilski Sportist
17 Oct
Rilski Sportist
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
29 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Hebar
23 Oct
Hebar
2 : 1
Nesebar
17 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 4
Hebar
10 Oct
Svoge
1 : 3
Hebar
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
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