Sport Picks

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Rilski Sportist vs Slivnishki Geroy

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rilski Sportist
33%
Draws
40%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist have won more games recently than Slivnishki Geroy.
  • Win probability leans Slivnishki Geroy's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
Oct 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Rilski Sportist
0:2
Apr 23, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Rilski Sportist
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 28 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Slivnishki Geroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Slivnishki Geroy conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Rilski Sportist has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Slivnishki Geroy
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
11 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
08 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Jul
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Vihren
01 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Arda
27 May
Gotse Delchev
1 : 2
Rilski Sportist
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Slivnishki Geroy

(Away)
30 May
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Slavia Sofia 2
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0
Slivnishki Geroy
16 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
09 May
Kostinbrod
1 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)