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Rincon vs Atarfe Industrial Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Rincon and Atarfe Industrial finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rincon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rincon
15%
Draws
21%
Atarfe Industrial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rincon haven't matched Atarfe Industrial's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Rincon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rincon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon Atarfe Industrial
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Atarfe Industrial
5:1
Nov 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Rincon
1:3
Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Rincon
1:1
Oct 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Atarfe Industrial
2:1
May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Atarfe Industrial
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 86 / 100
Atarfe Industrial 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon Atarfe Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Atarfe Industrial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Rincon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Atarfe Industrial registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rincon VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
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Atarfe Industrial

(Away)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)