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Rincon vs CP Almeria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Torres J.
89' Event
Mesas D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Rincon
15%
Draws
8%
CP Almeria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CP Almeria lately — more wins on the board than Rincon.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Rincon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CP Almeria have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon CP Almeria
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.87 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs CP Almeria
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Rincon
1:0
Apr 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Rincon
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs CP Almeria
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

CP Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 68 / 100
CP Almeria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon CP Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CP Almeria let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rincon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: CP Almeria registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CP Almeria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

CP Almeria

(Away)
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2
Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0
CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)