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Rincon vs El Palo

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Aranda R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Rincon and El Palo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Palo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rincon
15%
Draws
26%
El Palo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • El Palo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rincon a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rincon Clean Sheet 20%
El Palo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon El Palo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Rincon vs El Palo
0:1
May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Rincon
2:0
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs El Palo
2:0
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs El Palo
1:1
Oct 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Rincon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

El Palo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranda R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 49 / 100
El Palo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon El Palo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: El Palo conceded in 81% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Rincon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

El Palo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS El Palo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
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El Palo

(Away)
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1
El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1
Motril
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