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Rincon vs Torre del Mar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Cala
57' Event
Lopez A.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Fernandez F.

AI Match Summary

Torre del Mar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre del Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rincon
15%
Draws
21%
Torre del Mar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Torre del Mar have won more games recently than Rincon.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rincon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rincon Clean Sheet 20%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon Torre del Mar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Torre del Mar
0:4
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Rincon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Torre del Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cala
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 36 / 100
Torre del Mar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon Torre del Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Rincon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Torre del Mar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rincon's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Torre del Mar
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
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Torre del Mar

(Away)
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
17 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)