Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rincon vs Torremolinos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Capitan P.
89' Event
Castillo F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Rincon and Torremolinos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rincon
20%
Draws
29%
Torremolinos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rincon haven't matched Torremolinos's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rincon Clean Sheet 19%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon Torremolinos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Torremolinos
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torremolinos vs Rincon
3:0
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torremolinos vs Rincon
0:2
Dec 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Torremolinos
2:2
May 5, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Torremolinos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Top Goalscorer Capitan P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Torremolinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 31 / 100
Torremolinos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon Torremolinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torremolinos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Rincon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rincon's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Torremolinos
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

Torremolinos

(Away)
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
18 Jul
Granada CF
1 : 1
Torremolinos
11 Jul
Sevilla
1 : 0
Torremolinos
23 May
Antequera
3 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)