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Rio Ave vs Arouca Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Ave.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rio Ave
30%
Draws
39%
Arouca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arouca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Ave haven't matched Arouca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arouca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 16%
Arouca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave Arouca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Rio Ave vs Arouca
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Arouca
0:3
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Rio Ave
3:3
Feb 10, 2025 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Rio Ave
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Arouca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave 10 / 100
Arouca 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave Arouca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arouca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arouca conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rio Ave found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Rio Ave has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave VS Arouca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0
Rio Ave
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Rio Ave
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
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Arouca

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2
Santa Clara
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0
Arouca
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