Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Panzo J.
Own Goal
46'
46'
Sub
Silva J. In: Reisinho M.
Out: Silva J.
49'
49'
Tiknaz D. E.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between Rio Ave and Boavista finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boavista.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Ave
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Rio Ave carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Rio Ave taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 19%
Boavista Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Ave | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Boavista
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Rio Ave
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Rio Ave
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Boavista
2:0
Apr 22, 2023 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Rio Ave
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Ave Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Boavista Compare
Top Goalscorer Vukotic I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Ave 67 / 100
Boavista 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Ave Boavista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rio Ave Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boavista has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Boavista registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Rio Ave scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Rio Ave VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Ave
(Home) 28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
15 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 2 FC Porto
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 Rio Ave
01 Aug
Rio Ave
3 : 1 Tondela
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
15 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 2 FC Porto
01 Aug
Rio Ave
3 : 1 Tondela
23 Jul
Rio Ave
5 : 2 Nottingham 2
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 4
Boavista
(Away) 17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2 FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5 Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
07 Apr
Rio Ave
0 : 2 Boavista
16 Mar
Moreirense
1 : 0 Boavista
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88:27 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84:28 | 80 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:30 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55:30 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:37 | 54 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:53 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:44 | 45 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | 40 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:55 | 38 |
| 12 | Arouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:49 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32:50 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24:50 | 29 |
| 16 | AFS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25:60 | 27 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:46 | 27 |
| 18 | Boavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24:59 | 24 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
