Sport Picks
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio do Rio Ave, Vila do Conde 
Match Events
21'
21'
Stoica I.
Assist: Antonetti L.
26'
26'
Scholze M.
44'
44'
Petrasso F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Ave
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Estrela da Amadora haven't matched Rio Ave's recent run of results.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 68%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Ave | Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
3:3
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Rio Ave
1:2
May 5, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
2:0
Dec 23, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Rio Ave
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Ave Compare
Top Goalscorer Petrasso F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galcik R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Estrela da Amadora Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcus A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Stoica I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Ave 41 / 100
Estrela da Amadora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Ave Estrela da Amadora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rio Ave Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela da Amadora has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Rio Ave found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Estrela da Amadora lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rio Ave VS Estrela da Amadora
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Ave
(Home) 08 Nov
Rio Ave
0 : 1 Braga
01 Nov
Academico Viseu
2 : 1 Rio Ave
25 Oct
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Famalicao
17 Oct
Louletano
0 : 1 Rio Ave
11 Oct
Rio Ave
3 : 2 Nacional
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Rio Ave
0 : 1 Braga
25 Oct
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Famalicao
11 Oct
Rio Ave
3 : 2 Nacional
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
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Estrela da Amadora
(Away) 08 Nov
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 3 Benfica
31 Oct
Moreirense
2 : 1 Estrela da Amadora
24 Oct
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Casa Pia
17 Oct
Fazendense
1 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
11 Oct
Arouca
1 : 0 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Moreirense
2 : 1 Estrela da Amadora
17 Oct
Fazendense
1 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
11 Oct
Arouca
1 : 0 Estrela da Amadora
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27:5 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
