Sport Picks
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio do Rio Ave, Vila do Conde 
Match Events
21'
21'
Stoica I.
Assist: Antonetti L.
26'
26'
Scholze M.
44'
44'
Petrasso F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela da Amadora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Estrela da Amadora haven't matched Rio Ave's recent run of results.
- Estrela da Amadora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 10%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Ave | Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
3:3
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Rio Ave
1:2
May 5, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora
2:0
Dec 23, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Rio Ave
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Ave Compare
Top Goalscorer Petrasso F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galcik R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Estrela da Amadora Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcus A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Stoica I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Ave 10 / 100
Estrela da Amadora 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Ave Estrela da Amadora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela da Amadora has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Rio Ave's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Rio Ave went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rio Ave VS Estrela da Amadora
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Ave
(Home) 19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
15 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 2 FC Porto
01 Aug
Rio Ave
3 : 1 Tondela
23 Jul
Rio Ave
5 : 2 Nottingham 2
Page 1 of 4
Estrela da Amadora
(Away) 20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1 Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
15 Aug
Alverca
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
16 May
Braga
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
02 May
Moreirense
3 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
