Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Ave vs Silves FC

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2018/2019 Estádio do Rio Ave
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave play Silves FC in the Taça de Portugal 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rio Ave averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Silves FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Rio Ave won 1, Silves FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 25, 2018 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Rio Ave and 1.50 for Silves FC. This points to a Rio Ave double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rio Ave
17%
Draws
37%
Silves FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rio Ave

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Ave picked up more points recently compared to Silves FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 16%
Silves FC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave Silves FC
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 0
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Rio Ave vs Silves FC
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Ave Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Schmidt
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos Vinicius
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Silves FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave 45 / 100
Silves FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave Silves FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rio Ave or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rio Ave attacking → ← attacking Silves FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Ave scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Silves FC let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Rio Ave went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Silves FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 15
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00