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Rio Ave W vs Maritimo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women Estádio do Rio Ave, Vila do Conde
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Pereira T.
45' Event
Pereira T.
Assist: Selimhodzic N.
49' Event
Costa E.

AI Match Summary

The Taça da Liga Women game between Rio Ave W and Maritimo W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Ave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Rio Ave W
15%
Draws
12%
Maritimo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Ave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Rio Ave W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rio Ave W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave W Maritimo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Rio Ave W vs Maritimo W
4:1
Jan 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Rio Ave W
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Maritimo W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Ave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Almeida R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave W 85 / 100
Maritimo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave W Maritimo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Ave W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Rio Ave W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maritimo W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave W VS Maritimo W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave W

(Home)
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo W

(Away)
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 FC Porto W 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Racing Power W 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Braga W 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
5 Torreense W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Ave W 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Valadares Gaia W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Maritimo W 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
5 Sporting W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women (Play Offs)