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Rio Barra vs Barcelona EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Caldeira W.
83' Event
Noaldo
88' Event
Marins P.

AI Match Summary

Rio Barra in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Barra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rio Barra
20%
Draws
51%
Barcelona EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcelona EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Barcelona EC haven't matched Rio Barra's recent run of results.
  • Rio Barra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Barra Barcelona EC
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Barcelona EC
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 Carioca C
Barcelona EC vs Rio Barra
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Barra Compare

Top Goalscorer Caldeira W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noaldo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Barcelona EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Barra 85 / 100
Barcelona EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Barra Barcelona EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona EC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Rio Barra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rio Barra found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Rio Barra VS Barcelona EC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Barra

(Home)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
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Barcelona EC

(Away)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)